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Red20
746122.7
38769.7
41046.2
Blue35
406117.8
41259.5
59209.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443601001502002035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.71.4
25.724.3
Auto7.8
Teleop12.5
End2.4
red by 5.0
4061
#14
17.80.0
11.911.9
Auto4.9
Teleop8.5
End4.3
Second
3876
#20
9.72.3
7.95.6
Auto2.7
Teleop2.8
End4.2
red by 0.2
4125
#13
9.50.0
10.510.5
Auto1.9
Teleop6.0
End1.6
Third
4104
#16
6.22.3
7.14.8
Auto2.0
Teleop2.0
End2.1
blue by 3.1
5920
#11
9.30.0
12.412.5
Auto2.7
Teleop2.4
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
30%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed27%Hangar oddsEarned