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Red60
382618.2
371121.4
252224.7
Blue92
291055.6
46927.5
293033.6
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4890204060801001201406092

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.70.4
21.722.1
Auto8.3
Teleop9.6
End6.7
blue by 30.9
55.60.9
46.547.4
Auto16.4
Teleop30.2
End8.9
Second
21.40.4
14.414.9
Auto5.5
Teleop4.4
End11.5
blue by 12.2
33.60.9
23.023.8
Auto5.8
Teleop16.5
End11.3
Third
3826
#18
18.20.6
14.114.7
Auto3.3
Teleop10.4
End4.4
red by 10.7
4692
#17
7.51.4
9.510.9
Auto2.0
Teleop4.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
32%Cargo oddsMissed81%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsEarned70%Hangar oddsEarned