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Red56
281121.9
406117.8
38769.7
Blue48
214727.6
46927.5
60762.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3530010204050605648

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.91.6
13.615.1
Auto8.0
Teleop11.7
End2.1
blue by 5.7
27.62.1
15.717.8
Auto6.8
Teleop16.6
End4.2
Second
4061
#14
17.82.6
13.316.0
Auto4.9
Teleop8.5
End4.3
red by 10.2
4692
#17
7.52.1
7.59.7
Auto2.0
Teleop4.5
End1.1
Third
3876
#20
9.72.6
5.48.1
Auto2.7
Teleop2.8
End4.2
red by 7.4
6076
#22
2.32.1
5.57.7
Auto1.7
Teleop2.7
End-2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
12%Hangar oddsMissed25%Hangar oddsMissed