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Red48
52958.7
252224.7
498011.4
Blue57
371121.4
159521.0
41046.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4539102030506070804857

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.70.4
24.024.4
Auto8.3
Teleop9.6
End6.7
red by 3.3
21.41.0
15.316.4
Auto5.5
Teleop4.4
End11.5
Second
4980
#10
11.40.7
10.010.7
Auto3.2
Teleop5.5
End2.7
blue by 9.6
21.01.7
15.617.3
Auto4.7
Teleop12.2
End4.1
Third
5295
#12
8.70.7
7.68.3
Auto2.2
Teleop3.3
End3.2
red by 2.5
4104
#16
6.21.7
6.68.3
Auto2.0
Teleop2.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
23%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
31%Hangar oddsMissed23%Hangar oddsEarned