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Red67
38769.7
214727.6
451315.9
Blue30
382618.2
41046.2
85325.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45270102040506070806730

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.62.6
20.222.8
Auto6.8
Teleop16.6
End4.2
red by 9.4
3826
#18
18.20.3
16.116.4
Auto3.3
Teleop10.4
End4.4
Second
15.92.6
13.015.6
Auto4.3
Teleop8.4
End3.2
red by 9.7
4104
#16
6.20.3
6.97.1
Auto2.0
Teleop2.0
End2.1
Third
3876
#20
9.72.6
6.59.2
Auto2.7
Teleop2.8
End4.2
red by 4.4
8532
#21
5.40.3
4.34.5
Auto2.5
Teleop1.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsEarned10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed16%Hangar oddsMissed