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Red50
746122.7
292610.6
406117.8
Blue59
371121.4
60762.3
293033.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50602040801005059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.70.1
22.722.6
Auto7.8
Teleop12.5
End2.4
blue by 10.9
33.60.3
31.231.4
Auto5.8
Teleop16.5
End11.3
Second
4061
#14
17.80.2
15.515.3
Auto4.9
Teleop8.5
End4.3
blue by 3.7
21.40.3
20.020.3
Auto5.5
Teleop4.4
End11.5
Third
2926
#15
10.60.2
9.89.6
Auto3.3
Teleop5.8
End1.6
red by 8.3
6076
#22
2.30.4
4.14.4
Auto1.7
Teleop2.7
End-2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
33%Cargo oddsMissed22%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed74%Hangar oddsMissed