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Red89
41046.2
451315.9
291055.6
Blue79
40607.9
406117.8
293033.6
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8651204060801001201408979

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.60.6
53.854.4
Auto16.4
Teleop30.2
End8.9
red by 22.0
33.61.8
31.433.2
Auto5.8
Teleop16.5
End11.3
Second
15.90.8
15.616.3
Auto4.3
Teleop8.4
End3.2
blue by 1.9
4061
#14
17.82.4
15.317.7
Auto4.9
Teleop8.5
End4.3
Third
4104
#16
6.20.8
7.17.9
Auto2.0
Teleop2.0
End2.1
blue by 1.7
4060
#19
7.92.4
5.68.0
Auto1.5
Teleop2.9
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
80%Cargo oddsEarned21%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
32%Hangar oddsEarned35%Hangar oddsEarned