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Red41
382618.2
159521.0
41259.5
Blue51
746122.7
371121.4
85325.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5051203040607080904151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.00.5
20.920.4
Auto4.7
Teleop12.2
End4.1
blue by 1.8
22.70.2
22.622.8
Auto7.8
Teleop12.5
End2.4
Second
3826
#18
18.20.5
16.415.9
Auto3.3
Teleop10.4
End4.4
blue by 3.2
21.40.2
20.320.5
Auto5.5
Teleop4.4
End11.5
Third
4125
#13
9.50.5
9.69.1
Auto1.9
Teleop6.0
End1.6
red by 4.2
8532
#21
5.40.3
4.54.9
Auto2.5
Teleop1.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
32%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
53%Hangar oddsMissed32%Hangar oddsMissed