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Red28
490910.4
889.5
8115.4
Blue4
40415.3
2463.9
23427.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions392106080100284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4909
#21
10.41.7
12.410.7
Auto1.7
Teleop6.1
End2.6
red by 3.0
2342
#16
7.42.0
5.53.5
Auto1.4
Teleop3.0
End2.9
Second
88
#13
9.51.7
12.911.2
Auto1.4
Teleop6.5
End1.6
red by 4.1
4041
#15
5.32.0
10.28.2
Auto1.8
Teleop2.9
End0.7
Third
811
#9
5.41.7
8.97.2
Auto1.4
Teleop3.7
End0.3
red by 1.6
246
#11
3.92.0
6.34.3
Auto0.5
Teleop1.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsMissed18%Hangar oddsMissed