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Red17
115310.9
1575.3
61536.4
Blue28
17215.8
50912.9
27136.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions342004060801728

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1153
#24
10.91.8
12.310.5
Auto2.6
Teleop6.8
End1.5
blue by 2.0
509
#2
12.90.8
10.110.9
Auto1.8
Teleop3.1
End8.0
Second
6153
#19
6.41.8
10.08.2
Auto1.8
Teleop2.8
End1.8
red by 0.4
2713
#12
6.00.8
4.04.8
Auto0.7
Teleop4.4
End1.0
Third
157
#20
5.31.8
7.86.0
Auto2.6
Teleop2.9
End-0.2
blue by 0.5
1721
#17
5.80.8
6.67.4
Auto1.2
Teleop2.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsMissed17%Hangar oddsMissed