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Red90
93032.2
245140.2
802416.7
Blue97
642134.4
702136.8
590318.5
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97934060801201401609097

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.20.1
40.840.7
Auto16.0
Teleop18.4
End5.8
red by 3.5
36.80.2
36.236.4
Auto11.2
Teleop19.9
End5.7
Second
930
#4
32.20.1
32.832.7
Auto11.1
Teleop12.4
End8.7
blue by 2.2
34.40.2
33.834.0
Auto9.4
Teleop14.5
End10.5
Third
8024
#24
16.70.1
17.217.1
Auto3.7
Teleop1.4
End11.6
blue by 1.8
5903
#14
18.50.2
17.918.1
Auto4.6
Teleop7.5
End6.4