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Red69
761925.0
657432.4
870010.1
Blue72
130620.7
400925.3
297719.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72674060801001206972

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.40.0
32.432.4
Auto7.6
Teleop15.2
End9.6
red by 7.1
25.30.1
24.824.9
Auto6.9
Teleop11.9
End6.5
Second
25.00.0
24.925.0
Auto7.1
Teleop12.4
End5.4
red by 4.3
1306
#10
20.70.1
20.120.2
Auto7.0
Teleop8.5
End5.2
Third
8700
#38
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto3.2
Teleop3.2
End3.7
blue by 9.3
2977
#16
19.40.1
18.919.0
Auto5.3
Teleop4.4
End9.7