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Red51
761925.0
657432.4
870010.1
Blue57
130620.7
400925.3
297719.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74684060801001205157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.40.4
32.732.4
Auto7.6
Teleop15.2
End9.6
red by 7.1
25.30.3
25.024.8
Auto6.9
Teleop11.9
End6.5
Second
25.00.4
25.324.9
Auto7.1
Teleop12.4
End5.4
red by 4.3
1306
#10
20.70.3
20.420.1
Auto7.0
Teleop8.5
End5.2
Third
8700
#38
10.10.4
10.410.1
Auto3.2
Teleop3.2
End3.7
blue by 9.3
2977
#16
19.40.3
19.218.9
Auto5.3
Teleop4.4
End9.7