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Red65
761925.0
657432.4
870010.1
Blue62
130620.7
400925.3
297719.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74694060801001206562

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.40.2
32.932.7
Auto7.6
Teleop15.2
End9.6
red by 7.1
25.30.3
25.425.0
Auto6.9
Teleop11.9
End6.5
Second
25.00.2
25.525.3
Auto7.1
Teleop12.4
End5.4
red by 4.3
1306
#10
20.70.3
20.720.4
Auto7.0
Teleop8.5
End5.2
Third
8700
#38
10.10.2
10.610.4
Auto3.2
Teleop3.2
End3.7
blue by 9.3
2977
#16
19.40.3
19.519.2
Auto5.3
Teleop4.4
End9.7