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Red36
53398.6
880318.1
338110.7
Blue62
219420.6
64811.0
465521.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions295902040801001203662

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8803
#28
18.10.3
13.914.2
Auto5.5
Teleop7.9
End4.6
blue by 3.5
4655
#21
21.60.7
24.124.8
Auto5.8
Teleop9.6
End6.2
Second
3381
#25
10.70.3
6.06.3
Auto2.9
Teleop2.6
End5.2
blue by 9.9
2194
#12
20.60.7
17.718.3
Auto7.9
Teleop7.2
End5.5
Third
5339
#35
8.60.5
11.512.0
Auto2.2
Teleop-0.1
End6.4
blue by 2.4
648
#45
11.00.7
10.110.8
Auto5.9
Teleop3.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
4%Cargo oddsMissed44%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsMissed56%Hangar oddsEarned