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Red106
204018.8
590318.5
702136.8
Blue55
878213.9
454914.4
400925.3
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76430206010012014016010655

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.82.1
30.832.9
Auto11.2
Teleop19.9
End5.7
red by 11.4
25.30.7
24.024.7
Auto6.9
Teleop11.9
End6.5
Second
2040
#29
18.82.1
20.022.1
Auto7.3
Teleop4.9
End6.6
red by 4.4
4549
#22
14.41.2
9.911.1
Auto3.4
Teleop6.2
End4.8
Third
5903
#14
18.53.5
15.919.4
Auto4.6
Teleop7.5
End6.4
red by 4.6
8782
#43
13.91.2
10.311.5
Auto5.0
Teleop4.9
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
61%Cargo oddsEarned26%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
85%Hangar oddsEarned43%Hangar oddsEarned