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Red64
297719.4
36929.5
591420.3
Blue84
657432.4
870114.8
853123.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47670204060801001206484

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5914
#11
20.30.9
19.620.5
Auto3.7
Teleop8.8
End7.9
blue by 12.1
32.41.3
25.326.6
Auto7.6
Teleop15.2
End9.6
Second
2977
#16
19.40.9
14.515.4
Auto5.3
Teleop4.4
End9.7
blue by 4.3
23.71.3
22.623.9
Auto7.9
Teleop12.3
End3.5
Third
3692
#37
9.51.5
12.313.8
Auto4.6
Teleop1.3
End3.6
blue by 5.3
8701
#18
14.81.3
12.513.8
Auto2.4
Teleop6.5
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsEarned47%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
66%Hangar oddsEarned60%Hangar oddsEarned