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Red49
203920.3
109115.1
54429.8
Blue39
282613.5
802416.7
270412.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4156020801001204939

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.30.6
19.119.7
Auto7.9
Teleop10.6
End1.7
red by 3.6
8024
#24
16.71.1
18.317.2
Auto3.7
Teleop1.4
End11.6
Second
1091
#15
15.10.6
12.813.4
Auto5.4
Teleop5.1
End4.6
red by 1.5
2826
#33
13.51.8
16.714.9
Auto4.0
Teleop5.1
End4.4
Third
5442
#26
9.80.6
8.69.1
Auto3.9
Teleop3.6
End2.4
blue by 3.1
2704
#23
12.91.1
15.814.8
Auto3.8
Teleop3.8
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsEarned13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
33%Hangar oddsMissed78%Hangar oddsEarned