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Red76
53398.6
853123.7
400925.3
Blue69
514820.9
297719.4
282613.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67500204060801001207669

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.30.8
24.725.5
Auto6.9
Teleop11.9
End6.5
red by 4.4
5148
#27
20.91.3
19.120.4
Auto5.1
Teleop10.9
End5.0
Second
23.70.8
23.924.7
Auto7.9
Teleop12.3
End3.5
red by 4.3
2977
#16
19.41.3
15.416.7
Auto5.3
Teleop4.4
End9.7
Third
5339
#35
8.61.3
12.013.3
Auto2.2
Teleop-0.1
End6.4
blue by 4.9
2826
#33
13.52.2
14.917.1
Auto4.0
Teleop5.1
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
50%Cargo oddsEarned19%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
76%Hangar oddsEarned63%Hangar oddsEarned