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Red80
93032.2
109115.1
802416.7
Blue81
591420.3
702136.8
17112.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62732040801001208081

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#4
32.21.1
29.230.3
Auto11.1
Teleop12.4
End8.7
blue by 4.6
36.80.9
34.135.1
Auto11.2
Teleop19.9
End5.7
Second
8024
#24
16.71.1
17.218.3
Auto3.7
Teleop1.4
End11.6
blue by 3.6
5914
#11
20.30.9
20.521.5
Auto3.7
Teleop8.8
End7.9
Third
1091
#15
15.11.1
13.414.5
Auto5.4
Teleop5.1
End4.6
red by 2.3
171
#36
12.71.6
12.113.7
Auto5.6
Teleop4.6
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
30%Cargo oddsMissed72%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
78%Hangar oddsEarned85%Hangar oddsEarned