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Red49
616611.3
222024.3
402114.5
Blue86
642134.4
874419.9
219420.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4475020601001201404986

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2220
#20
24.30.4
23.323.7
Auto6.2
Teleop6.6
End11.5
blue by 10.1
34.41.3
33.134.4
Auto9.4
Teleop14.5
End10.5
Second
4021
#17
14.50.2
12.212.5
Auto5.1
Teleop5.1
End4.4
blue by 6.1
2194
#12
20.61.3
18.219.5
Auto7.9
Teleop7.2
End5.5
Third
6166
#31
11.30.4
9.910.3
Auto5.6
Teleop1.7
End4.0
blue by 8.5
8744
#13
19.92.1
15.417.6
Auto5.6
Teleop4.5
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed36%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
56%Hangar oddsEarned65%Hangar oddsEarned