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Red55
870010.1
657432.4
64811.0
Blue50
37238.3
870114.8
761925.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50514045556065705550

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.40.5
27.427.9
Auto7.6
Teleop15.2
End9.6
red by 7.4
25.00.1
23.523.4
Auto7.1
Teleop12.4
End5.4
Second
648
#45
11.00.5
11.412.0
Auto5.9
Teleop3.4
End1.7
blue by 3.8
8701
#18
14.80.1
13.513.4
Auto2.4
Teleop6.5
End6.0
Third
8700
#38
10.10.5
8.38.9
Auto3.2
Teleop3.2
End3.7
red by 1.8
3723
#34
8.30.2
10.810.6
Auto1.9
Teleop3.3
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed22%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
46%Hangar oddsEarned53%Hangar oddsEarned