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Red32
64811.0
338110.7
590318.5
Blue40
853123.7
54429.8
36929.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions465002060801001201403240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5903
#14
18.51.2
21.219.9
Auto4.6
Teleop7.5
End6.4
blue by 5.2
23.70.5
24.424.0
Auto7.9
Teleop12.3
End3.5
Second
648
#45
11.00.8
11.510.7
Auto5.9
Teleop3.4
End1.7
red by 1.2
5442
#26
9.80.5
10.49.9
Auto3.9
Teleop3.6
End2.4
Third
3381
#25
10.70.8
11.410.6
Auto2.9
Teleop2.6
End5.2
red by 1.2
3692
#37
9.50.7
12.111.4
Auto4.6
Teleop1.3
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed38%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
38%Hangar oddsEarned27%Hangar oddsMissed