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Red42
401112.2
802416.7
219420.6
Blue71
710319.9
400925.3
402114.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54660204060801001204271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2194
#12
20.60.7
20.920.3
Auto7.9
Teleop7.2
End5.5
blue by 4.7
25.30.4
25.826.2
Auto6.9
Teleop11.9
End6.5
Second
8024
#24
16.70.7
19.318.6
Auto3.7
Teleop1.4
End11.6
blue by 3.2
7103
#30
19.90.4
22.623.1
Auto5.7
Teleop11.6
End2.6
Third
4011
#41
12.21.1
12.111.0
Auto3.3
Teleop5.3
End3.5
blue by 2.3
4021
#17
14.50.4
12.012.4
Auto5.1
Teleop5.1
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed37%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
86%Hangar oddsEarned54%Hangar oddsEarned