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Red77
878213.9
642134.4
853123.7
Blue65
465521.6
710319.9
802416.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions816940601001207765

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.40.2
36.136.3
Auto9.4
Teleop14.5
End10.5
red by 12.8
4655
#21
21.60.4
24.824.4
Auto5.8
Teleop9.6
End6.2
Second
23.70.2
24.024.1
Auto7.9
Teleop12.3
End3.5
red by 3.8
7103
#30
19.90.4
23.122.7
Auto5.7
Teleop11.6
End2.6
Third
8782
#43
13.90.2
14.414.7
Auto5.0
Teleop4.9
End3.9
blue by 2.8
8024
#24
16.70.4
18.618.2
Auto3.7
Teleop1.4
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
80%Cargo oddsEarned52%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
45%Hangar oddsEarned85%Hangar oddsEarned