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Red64
130620.7
514820.9
37238.3
Blue60
591420.3
338110.7
874419.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53592040801001206460

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5148
#27
20.90.9
21.222.0
Auto5.1
Teleop10.9
End5.0
red by 0.6
5914
#11
20.30.1
24.024.0
Auto3.7
Teleop8.8
End7.9
Second
1306
#10
20.70.9
19.520.4
Auto7.0
Teleop8.5
End5.2
red by 0.8
8744
#13
19.90.1
20.220.3
Auto5.6
Teleop4.5
End9.8
Third
3723
#34
8.31.2
10.111.3
Auto1.9
Teleop3.3
End3.1
blue by 2.4
3381
#25
10.70.1
10.810.9
Auto2.9
Teleop2.6
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsEarned36%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
33%Hangar oddsMissed76%Hangar oddsEarned