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Red89
93032.2
245140.2
802416.7
Blue59
710319.9
853123.7
465521.6
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102652040801201401608959

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.20.1
40.940.8
Auto16.0
Teleop18.4
End5.8
red by 16.5
23.70.1
23.823.7
Auto7.9
Teleop12.3
End3.5
Second
930
#4
32.20.1
32.932.8
Auto11.1
Teleop12.4
End8.7
red by 10.6
4655
#21
21.60.1
21.721.6
Auto5.8
Teleop9.6
End6.2
Third
8024
#24
16.70.1
17.417.2
Auto3.7
Teleop1.4
End11.6
blue by 3.2
7103
#30
19.90.1
20.019.9
Auto5.7
Teleop11.6
End2.6