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Red78
710319.9
853123.7
465521.6
Blue65
216925.3
203920.3
204018.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71690204060801001201407865

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.70.3
24.224.4
Auto7.9
Teleop12.3
End3.5
blue by 1.6
2169
#19
25.30.2
25.625.4
Auto7.3
Teleop7.0
End11.0
Second
4655
#21
21.60.3
22.122.3
Auto5.8
Teleop9.6
End6.2
red by 1.3
20.30.2
20.520.3
Auto7.9
Teleop10.6
End1.7
Third
7103
#30
19.90.3
20.420.6
Auto5.7
Teleop11.6
End2.6
red by 1.1
2040
#29
18.80.2
19.018.8
Auto7.3
Teleop4.9
End6.6