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Red71
642134.4
702136.8
590318.5
Blue87
130620.7
400925.3
297719.4
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101632040801201401607187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.80.4
36.836.4
Auto11.2
Teleop19.9
End5.7
red by 11.4
25.30.4
24.925.3
Auto6.9
Teleop11.9
End6.5
Second
34.40.4
34.434.0
Auto9.4
Teleop14.5
End10.5
red by 13.7
1306
#10
20.70.4
20.220.6
Auto7.0
Teleop8.5
End5.2
Third
5903
#14
18.50.5
18.618.1
Auto4.6
Teleop7.5
End6.4
blue by 0.9
2977
#16
19.40.4
19.019.4
Auto5.3
Teleop4.4
End9.7