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Red0
319727.4
173243.1
88029.3
Blue74
220227.9
642125.9
250620.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8676050100150074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1732
#1DQ
43.10.2
43.142.9
Auto12.6
Teleop23.2
End7.3
red by 15.2
27.90.4
27.627.2
Auto6.2
Teleop14.2
End7.5
Second
3197
#3DQ
27.40.2
27.427.2
Auto6.9
Teleop12.9
End7.7
red by 1.5
25.90.4
25.625.2
Auto7.6
Teleop9.4
End8.9
Third
8802
#30DQ
9.30.2
9.39.1
Auto2.3
Teleop2.0
End5.1
blue by 10.8
2506
#18
20.20.4
19.919.4
Auto4.2
Teleop5.9
End10.1