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Red97
319727.4
173243.1
88029.3
Blue105
220227.9
642125.9
250620.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions867520406010012014016097105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.10.2
42.943.1
Auto12.6
Teleop23.2
End7.3
red by 15.2
27.90.7
27.227.9
Auto6.2
Teleop14.2
End7.5
Second
27.40.2
27.227.4
Auto6.9
Teleop12.9
End7.7
red by 1.5
25.90.7
25.225.9
Auto7.6
Teleop9.4
End8.9
Third
8802
#30
9.30.2
9.19.3
Auto2.3
Teleop2.0
End5.1
blue by 10.8
2506
#18
20.20.7
19.420.2
Auto4.2
Teleop5.9
End10.1