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Red73
478626.5
219412.8
125923.3
Blue39
171420.0
207711.1
853119.4
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54300204060807339

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4786
#11
26.51.7
18.820.5
Auto6.5
Teleop7.5
End12.5
red by 6.5
1714
#23
20.00.7
10.711.4
Auto7.0
Teleop7.4
End5.6
Second
1259
#14
23.31.9
17.219.1
Auto8.4
Teleop11.1
End3.8
red by 3.9
8531
#21
19.40.9
10.111.0
Auto5.2
Teleop12.3
End1.8
Third
2194
#26
12.82.4
11.714.0
Auto4.2
Teleop4.0
End4.6
red by 1.7
2077
#28
11.10.9
10.010.9
Auto4.2
Teleop5.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsEarned12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
66%Hangar oddsEarned32%Hangar oddsMissed