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Red30
9324.3
884713.2
79004.6
Blue45
35968.6
638123.3
53717.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36310501001503045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93
#16
24.30.9
16.215.3
Auto6.8
Teleop12.7
End4.8
red by 1.0
23.30.9
12.413.2
Auto6.2
Teleop14.1
End3.0
Second
8847
#32
13.26.3
13.26.9
Auto4.2
Teleop5.9
End3.1
blue by 4.6
537
#15
17.80.6
7.48.0
Auto3.9
Teleop11.3
End2.6
Third
7900
#42
4.61.2
8.57.3
Auto2.6
Teleop1.9
End0.1
blue by 4.0
3596
#41
8.60.9
9.510.4
Auto3.2
Teleop3.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsMissed10%Hangar oddsMissed