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Red78
853119.4
53717.8
9324.3
Blue81
171420.0
642125.9
682323.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46632040801007881

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93
#16
24.31.7
19.020.6
Auto6.8
Teleop12.7
End4.8
blue by 1.6
25.91.6
19.521.1
Auto7.6
Teleop9.4
End8.9
Second
8531
#21
19.42.8
13.215.9
Auto5.2
Teleop12.3
End1.8
blue by 3.9
23.31.6
21.723.3
Auto6.5
Teleop12.2
End4.5
Third
537
#15
17.81.7
13.014.7
Auto3.9
Teleop11.3
End2.6
blue by 2.2
1714
#23
20.01.6
15.817.4
Auto7.0
Teleop7.4
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
35%Cargo oddsEarned14%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
10%Hangar oddsEarned26%Hangar oddsEarned