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Red49
93021.6
130613.9
207711.1
Blue34
319727.4
509610.2
35968.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575740507080904934

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#17
21.60.3
24.023.7
Auto8.3
Teleop9.4
End3.8
blue by 5.9
27.41.5
25.724.2
Auto6.9
Teleop12.9
End7.7
Second
1306
#31
13.90.6
16.716.1
Auto5.5
Teleop4.6
End3.8
red by 3.7
5096
#27
10.22.5
16.013.5
Auto2.2
Teleop3.9
End4.1
Third
2077
#28
11.10.6
13.512.9
Auto4.2
Teleop5.6
End1.3
red by 2.5
3596
#41
8.62.5
11.18.6
Auto3.2
Teleop3.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
34%Cargo oddsMissed30%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsMissed50%Hangar oddsEarned