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Red39
207711.1
62239.5
35968.6
Blue13
87008.3
66436.6
17398.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282815202530353913

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2077
#28
11.10.8
10.411.2
Auto4.2
Teleop5.6
End1.3
red by 2.8
8700
#35
8.31.3
10.29.0
Auto2.7
Teleop2.4
End3.2
Second
6223
#37
9.51.0
8.19.1
Auto4.9
Teleop0.6
End4.1
red by 1.4
1739
#36
8.21.2
7.05.8
Auto3.9
Teleop0.6
End3.7
Third
3596
#41
8.60.8
7.48.2
Auto3.2
Teleop3.0
End2.4
red by 2.0
6643
#38
6.61.3
9.07.7
Auto3.7
Teleop2.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed21%Hangar oddsMissed