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Red29
509610.2
884713.2
88029.3
Blue30
47876.2
514814.3
741719.7
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3550102030406070802930

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8847
#32
13.20.6
12.812.2
Auto4.2
Teleop5.9
End3.1
blue by 6.5
19.71.3
22.220.9
Auto6.5
Teleop4.8
End8.4
Second
5096
#27
10.20.6
13.512.8
Auto2.2
Teleop3.9
End4.1
blue by 4.1
5148
#34
14.31.8
14.412.6
Auto4.2
Teleop7.4
End2.7
Third
8802
#30
9.30.5
8.98.3
Auto2.3
Teleop2.0
End5.1
red by 3.2
4787
#39
6.21.7
8.56.8
Auto2.9
Teleop2.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
22%Cargo oddsMissed28%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
45%Hangar oddsMissed26%Hangar oddsMissed