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Red64
130613.9
250620.2
341820.8
Blue49
125923.3
79004.6
72379.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions543902060801001206449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3418
#13
20.81.1
16.517.6
Auto3.6
Teleop6.6
End10.6
blue by 2.5
1259
#14
23.30.4
21.722.1
Auto8.4
Teleop11.1
End3.8
Second
2506
#18
20.20.7
16.917.6
Auto4.2
Teleop5.9
End10.1
red by 10.3
7237
#40
9.90.6
10.811.3
Auto4.9
Teleop2.7
End2.2
Third
1306
#31
13.91.1
15.416.5
Auto5.5
Teleop4.6
End3.8
red by 9.3
7900
#42
4.60.6
6.36.8
Auto2.6
Teleop1.9
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed21%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
36%Hangar oddsEarned14%Hangar oddsMissed