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Red19
191831.9
592719.4
592616.2
Blue64
207539.6
861211.8
10726.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80880501502002503003501964

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.93.8
36.732.9
Auto3.1
Teleop19.5
End9.3
blue by 7.7
39.61.2
41.540.4
Auto6.1
Teleop29.5
End4.1
Second
5927
#22
19.43.8
19.315.5
Auto0.6
Teleop13.1
End5.7
blue by 7.0
107
#2
26.41.2
25.124.0
Auto3.9
Teleop15.3
End7.2
Third
5926
#17
16.23.8
20.216.4
Auto3.4
Teleop6.9
End5.9
red by 4.3
8612
#18
11.81.2
14.913.7
Auto1.9
Teleop4.8
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
77%Cargo oddsMissed90%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
82%Hangar oddsMissed68%Hangar oddsMissed