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Red40
8531.5
705420.3
277125.7
Blue82
362038.5
3357B20.4
85816.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93810501502004082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#5
31.53.3
33.530.1
Auto5.6
Teleop20.6
End5.2
blue by 7.0
38.50.3
40.640.8
Auto4.4
Teleop23.0
End11.1
Second
2771
#10
25.73.3
28.425.1
Auto4.5
Teleop14.0
End7.2
red by 5.3
20.43.0
20.417.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.8
End8.7
Third
7054
#19
20.33.3
24.320.9
Auto1.6
Teleop11.3
End7.5
red by 3.8
858
#26
16.40.3
20.220.5
Auto0.6
Teleop8.6
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
88%Cargo oddsMissed67%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
80%Hangar oddsEarned77%Hangar oddsEarned