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Red16
4739-1.4
477440.0
99992.5
Blue33
71632.6
743328.9
643412.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5644020801001201401601633

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.02.4
47.344.9
Auto15.1
Teleop23.9
End0.9
red by 11.1
28.90.7
26.826.2
Auto6.7
Teleop17.9
End4.2
Second
9999
#13
2.53.2
5.42.2
Auto1.7
Teleop-0.3
End1.3
blue by 9.9
12.40.7
12.912.3
Auto5.4
Teleop3.2
End3.9
Third
4739
#10
-1.42.4
-0.8-3.2
Auto0.7
Teleop-4.2
End2.1
blue by 3.9
7163
#16
2.60.7
3.32.6
Auto1.7
Teleop0.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
61%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
6%Hangar oddsMissed7%Hangar oddsMissed