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Red85
75617.4
313230.5
743328.9
Blue53
651026.9
533113.3
59884.6
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions723502060801001201408553

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.51.2
29.330.5
Auto12.2
Teleop16.2
End2.1
red by 3.6
26.90.7
24.425.1
Auto7.2
Teleop9.3
End10.3
Second
28.91.2
26.227.4
Auto6.7
Teleop17.9
End4.2
red by 15.6
13.30.7
12.112.9
Auto3.2
Teleop5.0
End5.0
Third
7561
#12
7.41.2
7.48.6
Auto1.9
Teleop3.3
End2.2
red by 2.8
5988
#11
4.60.7
1.42.2
Auto2.7
Teleop-0.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
39%Cargo oddsEarned16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
15%Hangar oddsEarned33%Hangar oddsEarned