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Red40
643412.4
533113.3
75617.4
Blue46
313230.5
71632.6
59856.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34470204060801004046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.30.4
12.913.3
Auto3.2
Teleop5.0
End5.0
blue by 17.2
30.50.2
30.530.7
Auto12.2
Teleop16.2
End2.1
Second
12.40.4
12.312.7
Auto5.4
Teleop3.2
End3.9
red by 6.2
6.20.2
9.29.5
Auto4.4
Teleop1.7
End0.1
Third
7561
#12
7.40.4
8.69.0
Auto1.9
Teleop3.3
End2.2
red by 4.8
7163
#16
2.60.2
2.62.8
Auto1.7
Teleop0.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
24%Cargo oddsMissed23%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
12%Hangar oddsEarned7%Hangar oddsMissed