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Red30
558429.0
60359.7
47298.3
Blue37
55646.3
313230.0
598511.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445302060801001201403037

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.00.8
28.327.4
Auto9.1
Teleop9.0
End10.9
blue by 1.0
30.01.0
26.925.9
Auto12.4
Teleop14.4
End3.1
Second
9.70.8
6.65.8
Auto3.7
Teleop2.6
End3.3
blue by 1.5
5985
#12
11.21.0
14.113.1
Auto5.9
Teleop4.0
End1.3
Third
8.30.8
7.86.9
Auto2.9
Teleop4.4
End1.0
red by 2.0
5564
#10
6.31.0
7.26.2
Auto2.4
Teleop2.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed18%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
49%Hangar oddsMissed11%Hangar oddsMissed