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Red55
477441.3
60359.7
758318.2
Blue74
461343.9
756112.0
64766.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions614902040801001205574

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.30.0
35.135.1
Auto13.7
Teleop25.6
End1.9
blue by 2.6
43.91.7
32.133.8
Auto8.5
Teleop24.1
End11.2
Second
18.20.0
13.914.0
Auto4.3
Teleop9.4
End4.5
red by 6.2
7561
#11
12.01.7
12.814.5
Auto1.7
Teleop7.6
End2.7
Third
9.70.0
5.85.8
Auto3.7
Teleop2.6
End3.3
red by 3.0
6476
#14
6.71.7
3.14.8
Auto3.2
Teleop0.3
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
58%Cargo oddsMissed43%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsEarned26%Hangar oddsEarned