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Red77
650837.2
99945.5
558431.0
Blue72
99913.4
99935.8
461358.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81712040601001201407772

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.20.6
36.936.4
Auto13.9
Teleop11.4
End11.9
blue by 21.4
58.70.4
58.858.4
Auto15.7
Teleop29.9
End13.0
Second
31.00.6
30.029.5
Auto9.5
Teleop9.9
End11.6
red by 25.2
9993
#12
5.80.4
4.64.2
Auto4.1
Teleop1.2
End0.7
Third
9994
#11
5.50.6
6.76.1
Auto2.6
Teleop1.4
End1.7
red by 2.1
9991
#14
3.40.4
3.02.6
Auto3.8
Teleop-0.4
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
45%Cargo oddsMissed78%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
89%Hangar oddsEarned39%Hangar oddsMissed