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Red87
651020.6
650837.2
603510.5
Blue89
99965.4
461358.7
99935.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6375020401001208789

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.21.4
36.437.8
Auto13.9
Teleop11.4
End11.9
blue by 21.4
58.70.9
58.459.2
Auto15.7
Teleop29.9
End13.0
Second
20.61.4
16.217.6
Auto5.1
Teleop7.8
End7.6
red by 14.8
9993
#12
5.80.9
4.25.1
Auto4.1
Teleop1.2
End0.7
Third
10.51.4
9.010.5
Auto3.4
Teleop2.1
End4.9
red by 5.1
9996
#16
5.40.9
5.56.4
Auto2.2
Teleop2.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
23%Cargo oddsMissed76%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
87%Hangar oddsEarned44%Hangar oddsMissed