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Red59
756521.2
756719.6
99894.9
Blue27
580015.9
999312.2
69027.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453602060801005927

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.20.4
20.420.7
Auto5.4
Teleop6.2
End9.8
red by 5.2
15.90.2
16.316.1
Auto4.9
Teleop4.9
End6.2
Second
19.60.4
18.819.1
Auto7.6
Teleop10.3
End1.8
red by 7.4
12.20.3
12.712.4
Auto2.8
Teleop7.3
End2.0
Third
9989
#16
4.90.5
3.94.4
Auto2.3
Teleop0.5
End2.0
blue by 2.9
6902
#20
7.90.2
8.38.0
Auto3.5
Teleop2.4
End2.1