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Red63
756521.2
756719.6
99894.9
Blue30
580015.9
999312.2
69027.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47350204060801006330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.20.4
20.721.2
Auto5.4
Teleop6.2
End9.8
red by 5.2
15.90.1
16.115.9
Auto4.9
Teleop4.9
End6.2
Second
19.60.4
19.119.6
Auto7.6
Teleop10.3
End1.8
red by 7.4
12.20.2
12.412.2
Auto2.8
Teleop7.3
End2.0
Third
9989
#16
4.90.6
4.44.9
Auto2.3
Teleop0.5
End2.0
blue by 2.9
6902
#20
7.90.1
8.07.9
Auto3.5
Teleop2.4
End2.1