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Red75
756521.2
756719.6
99985.7
Blue12
99947.1
99976.4
99742.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions452204060801007512

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.20.7
18.819.5
Auto5.4
Teleop6.2
End9.8
red by 14.0
9994
#18
7.10.1
7.17.0
Auto3.3
Teleop3.7
End0.1
Second
19.60.7
17.217.9
Auto7.6
Teleop10.3
End1.8
red by 13.1
9997
#13
6.40.1
6.46.3
Auto2.2
Teleop2.9
End1.3
Third
9998
#24
5.70.9
4.55.4
Auto3.4
Teleop2.2
End-0.1
red by 3.0
9974
#22
2.60.1
2.62.5
Auto2.0
Teleop0.3
End0.3